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Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies
The human brain has some capabilities that the brains of other animals lack. It is to these distinctive capabilities that our species owes its dominant position. Other animals have stronger muscles or sharper claws, but we have cleverer brains. If machine brains one day come to surpass human brains...
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| Format: | Printed Book |
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UK
Oxford University Press
2014
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Table of Contents:
- The unfinished fable of the sparrows
- Preface
- Past developments and present capabilities : Growth modes and big history ; Great expectations ; Seasons of hope and despair ; State of the art ; Opinions about the future of machine intelligence
- Paths to superintelligence : Artificial intelligence ; Whole brain emulation ; Biological cognition ; Brain-computer interfaces ; Networks and organizations
- Forms of superintelligence : Speed superintelligence ; Collective superintelligence ; Quality superintelligence ; Direct and indirect reach ; Sources of advantage for digital intelligence
- The kinetics of an intelligence explosion : Timing and speed of the takeoff ; Recalcitrance : Non-machine intelligence paths; Emulation and AI paths ; Optimization power and explosivity
- Decisive strategic advantage : Will the frontrunner get a decisive strategic advantage? ; How large will the successful project be? : Monitoring; International collaboration ; From decisive strategic advantage to singleton
- Cognitive superpowers : Functionalities and superpowers ; An AI takeover scenario ; Power over nature and agents
- The superintelligent will : The relation between intelligence and motivation ; Instrumental convergence : Self-preservation; Goal-content integrity; Cognitive enhancement; Technological perfection; Resource acquisition
- Is the default outcome doom? : Existential catastrophe as the default outcome of an intelligence explosion? ; The treacherous turn ; Malignant failure modes : Perverse instantiation; Infrastructure profusion; Mind crime
- The control problem : Two agency problems ; Capability control methods : Boxing methods; Incentive methods; Stunting; Tripwires ; Motivation selection methods : Direct specification; Domesticity; Indirect normativity; Augmentation
- Oracles, genies, sovereigns, tools : Tool AIs ; Comparison
- Multipolar scenarios : Of horses and men : Wages and unemployment; Capital and welfare; The Malthusian principle in a historical perspective; Population growth and investment ; Life in an algorithmic economy : Voluntary slavery, casual death; Would maximally efficient work be fun?; Unconscious outsourcers?; Evolution is not necessarily up ; Post-transition formation of a singleton? : A second transition; Superorganisms and scale economies; Unification by treaty
- Acquiring values : The value-loading problem ; Evolutionary selection ; Reinforcement learning ; Associative value accretion ; Motivational scaffolding ; Value learning ; Emulation modulation ; Institution design
- Choosing the criteria for choosing : The need for indirect normativity ; Coherent extrapolated volition : Some explications; Rationales for CEV ; Morality models ; Do what I mean ; Component list : Goal content; Decision theory; Epistemology; Ratification ; Getting close enough
- The strategic picture : Science and technology strategy : Differential technological development; Preferred order of arrival; Rates of change and cognitive enhancement; Technology couplings; Second-guessing ; Pathways and enablers : Effects of hardware progress; Should whole brain emulation research be promoted?; The person-affecting perspective favors speed ; Collaboration : The race dynamic and its perils; On the benefits of collaboration; Working together
- Crunch time : Philosophy with a deadline ; What is to be done? : Seeking the strategic light; Building good capacity; Particular measures ; Will the best in human nature please stand up
- Afterword.