The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost. In \\\The...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nate Silver
Format: Printed Book
Published: London Allen Lane 2012
Subjects:
Forecasting. Forecasting > Methodology. Forecasting > History.
Table of Contents:
  • A catastrophic failure of prediction
  • Are you smarter than a television pundit?
  • All I care about is W's and L's
  • For years you've been telling us that rain is green
  • Desperately seeking signal
  • How to frown in three feet of water
  • Role models
  • Less and less and less wrong
  • Rage against the machines
  • The poker bubble
  • If you can't beat 'em ...
  • A climate of healthy skepticism
  • What you don't know can hurt you.

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